Aim for the condition of shortage mid-range forecast, utilizing numerical forecast production and historical data, the paper studies a tool including similar circulation and climate probability, it is based on synoptic meteorology and statistics, besides, the method of similar forecast is used.
针对未来8-17d中期预报方法短缺的现状,将数值预报产品与历史资料有效结合和应用,以天气学、统计学为基础,通过关键区相似预报等方法,研制了一套以查询环流相似和气候概率为主的中期预报工具。
